GHANA'S 2020 ELECTIONS
PARLIAMENTARY FORECAST
This is our parliamentary forecast for the upcoming 2020 elections
The forecast is from our statistical predictive model based on 6 parameters under a 95% confidence interval.
NPP
98
Toss Up
94
NDC
83
| NPP Solid | Likely NPP | Toss Up | likely NDC | NDC Solid |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82 | 16 | 94 | 20 | 63 |
Likely NDC (20)
| REGION | CONSTITUENCY |
| Ahafo(1) | Asunafo South |
| Ashanti(1) | Asawase |
| Bono (1) | Banda |
| Bono East(2) | Kintampo North |
| Sene West | |
| Central(2) | Ajumako / Enyan / Essiam |
| Komenda / Edina Eguafo / Abirem | |
| Eastern(1) | Afram Plains South |
| G. Accra(3) | Ablekuma South |
| Kpone Katamanso | |
| Sege | |
| Northern(1) | Karaga |
| Oti(1) | Akan |
| Savannah(2) | Damongo |
| Yapei/Kusawgu | |
| U. East(2) | Garu |
| Nabdam | |
| Western(2) | Ellembelle |
| Wassa East | |
| Western North(1) | Juabeso |
Likely NPP (16)
| REGION | CONSTITUENCY |
| Ahafo(1) | Asutifi North |
| Ashanti(2) | Adansi Asokwa |
| Ahafo Ano South East | |
| Bono (1) | Sunyani West |
| Central(3) | Assin South |
| Awutu Senya East | |
| Effutu | |
| Eastern(3) | Abirem |
| Fanteakwa North | |
| Nsawam Adoagyiri | |
| G. Accra(3) | Okaikwei North |
| Tema West | |
| Weija | |
| Western(3) | Ahanta West |
| Sekondi | |
| Tarkwa Nsuaem |
NDC Solid (63)
| REGION | CONSTITUENCY |
| Ahafo(1) | Asutifi South |
| Ashanti(1) | Sekyere Afram Plains |
| Bono East(2) | Pru East |
| Sene East | |
| Eastern(2) | Afram Plains North |
| Yilo Krobo | |
| G. Accra(8) | Ada |
| Ashaiman | |
| Ayawaso East | |
| Ayawaso North | |
| Domeabra/Obom | |
| Ningo/Prampram | |
| Odododiodioo | |
| Shai Osudoku | |
| Northern(6) | Kumbungu |
| Mion | |
| Sagnarigu | |
| Tamale Central | |
| Tamale North | |
| Tamale South | |
| Oti(5) | Biakoye |
| Buem | |
| Krachi West | |
| Nkwanta North | |
| Nkwanta South | |
| Savannah(3) | Bole Bamboi |
| Salaga North | |
| Sawla/Kalba | |
| U. East(8) | Binduri |
| Bolgatanga Central | |
| Bolgatanga East | |
| Bongo | |
| Builsa North | |
| Builsa South | |
| Chiana/Paga | |
| Pusiga | |
| U. West(5) | Daffiama / Bussie / Issa |
| Jirapa | |
| Lambussie-Karni | |
| Nadowli Kaleo | |
| Wa West | |
| Volta(18) | Adaklu |
| Afadjato South | |
| Agotime Ziope | |
| Akatsi North | |
| Akatsi South | |
| Anlo | |
| Central Tongu | |
| Ho Central | |
| Ho West | |
| Hohoe | |
| Keta | |
| Ketu North | |
| Ketu South | |
| Kpando | |
| North Dayi | |
| North Tongu | |
| South Dayi | |
| South Tongu | |
| Western(1) | Amenfi West |
| Western North(3) | Bia East |
| Bia West | |
| Bodi |
NPP Solid (82)
| REGION | CONSTITUENCY |
| Ahafo(1) | Tano North |
| Ashanti(39) | Afigya Kwabre North |
| Afigya Kwabre South | |
| Afigya Sekyere East | |
| Ahafo Ano South West | |
| Akrofuom | |
| Asante Akim Central | |
| Asante Akim North | |
| Asante Akim South | |
| Asokwa | |
| Atwima Kwanwoma | |
| Atwima Mponua | |
| Atwima Nwabiagya North | |
| Atwima Nwabiagya South | |
| Bantama | |
| Bekwai | |
| Bosome-Freho | |
| Bosomtwe | |
| Effiduase/Asokore | |
| Ejisu | |
| Fomena | |
| Juaben | |
| Kumawu | |
| Kwabre East | |
| Kwadaso | |
| Mampong | |
| Manhyia North | |
| Manhyia South | |
| Manso Adubia | |
| Manso Nkwanta | |
| Nhyiaeso | |
| Nsuta Kwamang | |
| Obuasi East | |
| Obuasi West | |
| Odotobri | |
| Offinso South | |
| Oforikrom | |
| Old Tafo | |
| Suame | |
| Subin | |
| Bono (5) | Berekum East |
| Berekum West | |
| Dormaa East | |
| Jaman South | |
| Sunyani East | |
| Central(3) | Assin Central |
| Upper Denkyira East | |
| Upper Denkyira West | |
| Eastern(21) | Abetifi |
| Abuakwa North | |
| Abuakwa South | |
| Achiase | |
| Akim Oda | |
| Akim Swedru | |
| Akwapim North(Akropong) | |
| Akwapim South | |
| Asene Akroso Monso | |
| Atiwa East | |
| Atiwa West | |
| Ayensuano | |
| Fanteakwa South | |
| Kade | |
| Lower West Akim | |
| Mpraeso | |
| New Juaben North | |
| New Juaben South | |
| Nkawkaw | |
| Ofoase/Ayirebi | |
| Okere | |
| G. Accra(8) | Ablekuma North |
| Ablekuma West | |
| Anyaa Sowutuom | |
| Dome/Kwabenya | |
| Okaikwei Central | |
| Okaikwei South | |
| Tema Central | |
| Trobu | |
| Northern(1) | Bimbilla |
| Western(4) | Effia |
| Essikado-Ketan | |
| Kwesimintsim | |
| Takoradi |
Toss Ups (94)
| REGION | CONSTITUENCY |
| Ahafo(2) | Asunafo North |
| Tano South | |
| Ashanti(4) | Ahafo Ano North |
| Ejura Sekyedumase | |
| New Edubiase | |
| Offinso North | |
| Bono (5) | Dorma Central |
| Dormaa West | |
| Jaman North | |
| Tain | |
| Wenchi | |
| Bono East(7) | Atebubu/Amanting |
| Kintampo South | |
| Nkoranza North | |
| Nkoranza South | |
| Pru West | |
| Techiman North | |
| Techiman South | |
| Central(15) | Abura / Asebu / Kwamankese |
| Agona East | |
| Agona West | |
| Asikuma Odoben Brakwa | |
| Assin North | |
| Awutu Senya West | |
| Cape Coast North | |
| Cape Coast South | |
| Ekumfi | |
| Gomoa Central | |
| Gomoa East | |
| Gomoa West | |
| Hemang Lower Denkyira | |
| Mfantseman | |
| Twifo-Atti Morkwaa | |
| Eastern(6) | Akwatia |
| Asuogyaman | |
| Lower Manya Krobo | |
| Suhum | |
| Upper Manya Krobo | |
| Upper West Akim | |
| G. Accra(12) | Ablekuma Central |
| Adenta | |
| Amasaman | |
| Ayawaso Central | |
| Ayawaso West Wuogon | |
| Bortianor Ngleshie Amanfrom | |
| Dade Kotopon | |
| Klottey Korle | |
| Krowor | |
| Ledzokuku | |
| Madina | |
| Tema East | |
| North East(6) | Bunkpurugu |
| Chereponi | |
| Nalerigu/Gambaga | |
| Walewale | |
| Yagaba/Kubori | |
| Yunyoo | |
| Northern(10) | Gusheigu |
| Kpandai | |
| Nanton | |
| Saboba | |
| Savelugu | |
| Tatale Sanguli | |
| Tolon | |
| Wulensi | |
| Yendi | |
| Zabzugu | |
| Oti(2) | Krachi East |
| Krachi Nchumuru | |
| Savannah(2) | Daboya Mankarigu |
| Salaga South | |
| U. East(5) | Bawku Central |
| Navrongo Central | |
| Talensi | |
| Tempane | |
| Zebilla (Bawku West) | |
| U. West | Lawra |
| Nandom | |
| Sissala East | |
| Sissala West | |
| Wa Central | |
| Wa East | |
| Western(6) | Amenfi Central |
| Amenfi East | |
| Evalue Ajomoro Gwira | |
| Jomoro | |
| Mpohor | |
| Prestea Huni Valley | |
| Shama | |
| Western North(5) | Aowin |
| Bibiani-Anhwiaso Bekwai | |
| Sefwi Akontombra | |
| Sefwi Wiawso | |
| Suaman |
| Solid | The party has a 95% chance of retaining the seat |
| Likely | The party has an 80% chance of retaining the seat |
| Toss Up | Either party can win the seat |